Wednesday, August 17, 2011

U.S. Commodities Day Ahead: Gold and Wheat Climb, Rubber Drops


MBA Mortgage Applications    AUG 12               21.7%     7:00
U.S. Producer Price Index (MoM)  JUL    0.1%      -0.4%     8:30
U.S. PPI Ex Food & Energy (MoM)  JUL    0.2%      0.3%      8:30
U.S. Producer Price Index (YoY)  JUL    7.0%      7.0%      8:30
U.S. PPI Ex Food & Energy (YoY)  JUL    2.3%      2.4%      8:30
USDA Cattle Slaughter         AUG 17              128000   14:00
USDA Hog Slaughter            AUG 17              413000   14:00
USDA Broiler Eggs Set         AUG 12              196033   15:00

Metal Prices: ($/ton)
                 Last  % Chg RSI
Copper          8,891   +0.7  38
Aluminum        2,373   -0.1  32
Zinc            2,194   +0.5  39
Lead            2,368   +0.5  39
Nickel         21,725   +0.1  39
Tin            24,425   +1.1  41

Other Markets:
                       Last  % Chg % YTD
U.S. Dollar Index    73.747   -0.3  -6.7
Crude Oil            $87.67   +1.2  -4.1
Gold               $1,791.4   +0.3   +26
MSCI World Index   1,197.59   +0.1  -6.4
COMMODITY EXCLUSIVES:
Norway’s Oil Era Extended as North Sea Offers Hidden Giant (1)
Norway may slow a decade-long slump in oil production after a series of discoveries from the Arctic to the North Sea.
Fertilizers Lag Food Costs in Boost to Global Production Outlook
Prices in the $150 billion fertilizer market are lagging behind gains in food costs, providing farmers another incentive to boost production as grains and oilseeds advance.
INDUSTRIAL METALS:
Copper May Rise as Gap in Prices Spurs Purchasing From China
Copper may rise in London on signs Chinese buyers are taking advantage of the gap between prices in the U.K. city and Shanghai.
South Korean Agency Buys Aluminum, Zinc, Nickel in Tenders (1)
South KoreaAsia’s third-biggest buyer of base metals, bought 2,000 metric tons of aluminum, 1,500 tons of zinc and 200 tons of nickel in tenders, according to a government body website.
MINING:
Talvivaara Shares Slump on Quarterly Loss, Guidance Reassessment
Talvivaara Mining Co., a Finnish nickel producer, fell the most in more than a week in London trading after reporting a second-quarter loss.
ENRC First-Half Profit Rises 29% on Higher Commodity Prices (1)
Eurasian Natural Resources Corp., a Kazakh metals producer, posted a 29 percent increase in first-half profit and said a review of corporate governance is “well under way.”
Bumi Posts $62 Million Operating Profit on Record Coal Price (1)
Bumi Plc, the Indonesian coal exporter founded by Nathaniel Rothschild last year, reported operating profit of $62 million in the first half, driven by record thermal-coal prices.
PRECIOUS METALS:
Gold Gains for Third Day in London as Debt Concerns Spur Demand
Gold climbed for a third day in London and approached a record as concern about Europe’s debt crisis spurred demand for a protection of wealth.
Gold May Decline $100 After Gain of $900 Since End of 2008 (1)
Gold, which has risen about $900 since the end of 2008, may fall by $100 an ounce or more in the “near term” and probably still attract buyers, UBS AG said.
Palladium Rebound to Halt Near $779 an Ounce: Technical Analysis
Palladium’s rebound from a 12-week low last week may halt near $779 an ounce, according to technical analysis by Commerzbank AG.
U.S. Gained From Ending Gold Standard in 1971: Chart of the Day
The U.S. “benefitted immeasurably” from dropping the gold standard four decades ago because the dollar became the world’s reserve currency, allowing borrowing costs to fall, Societe Generale SA said.
Gold Market Is a ‘Bubble Poised to Burst,’ Wells Fargo Says (3)
Speculative demand from investors has pushed the gold market into a “bubble that is poised to burst” after prices surged to a record this year, Wells Fargo & Co. said.
AGRICULTURE:
Peppers Wilt as Barley Drowns for Farmers Who Can’t Tap Tax Aid
Sunburn is hard to avoid in the heat of a southeast Texas summer. Even the watermelons have it this year.
Wheat Rises for Third Day as Dryness May Reduce U.S. Seeding
Wheat rose for a third day in Chicago on speculation hot, dry weather in the U.S. Plains may curb seeding of winter varieties and on concern adverse weather in Russia and Ukraine might hurt crops.
Coffee Rises as Vietnam Harvest Nears Completion; Cocoa Drops
Coffee rose for a seventh session in London on concern about limited supplies from Vietnam as the harvest in the world’s largest producer of robusta beans neared completion. Cocoa fell.
Sugar Exports From India to Climb on Higher Output, Group Says
Sugar exports from India, the second-largest producer, may climb as much as 54 percent next year as output expands for a third year and a supply shortage from Brazil drives demand, according to a producers’ group.
Rubber Drops for Second Day as European Crisis May Hurt Demand
Rubber dropped for a second day on mounting concern that Europe’s debt crisis may worsen, hurting the global economy and demand for the commodity used in tires and gloves.
Japan Buys 14,750 Tons of Feed Wheat in Tender, Ministry Says
Japan bought 14,750 metric tons of feed wheat in a tender today, the Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries said.
Asia Inflation Risk to Rise on Thai Plan to Boost Rice Price (2)
Yingluck Shinawatra became Thailand’s first female prime minister by pledging to lift rural incomes through higher rice prices. The rest of Asia may now have to pay for her campaign promise.
Soybean Output in India May Climb as Monsoon Rains Spur Sowing
Soybean production in India, Asia’s biggest exporter of the oilseed meal, may climb as much as 10 percent next year as farmers increase area under the oilseed, a processors’ group said.
SHIPPING:
Maersk’s Tanker Subsidiary Extends Losses Into a Third Year
Maersk Tankers, a division of A.P. Moeller-Maersk A/S and operator of the world’s largest product tanker fleet, lost $19 million in the first half, extending losses into a third year.
Chemical, Oil Products Tanker Due at Libyan Rebel Port Today
The chemical or oil products tanker Breeze A is scheduled to arrive at the rebel-held port of Benghazi in Libya today, according to data from AISLive Ltd.
ECONOMIES:
Expanding Yuan Role Is Biggest Boost to Hong Kong Since 2003 (1)
Chinese Vice Premier Li Keqiang unveiled the biggest package of measures supporting Hong Kong’s economy since the 2003 SARS epidemic, allowing more two-way investment in shares and sparking a rally in brokerage stocks.
China Sells Dim Sum Bonds in Hong Kong at Record Low Yield (1)
China sold 15 billion yuan ($2.4 billion) of bonds to institutional investors in Hong Kong at the lowest yields since the Ministry of Finance began issuing debt in the city in 2009.
Franc Gains as Central Bank Refrains From Currency Target (3)
The franc strengthened after the Swiss central bank stopped short of announcing a target rate or temporary peg to the euro in its third attempt in as many weeks to drive down the currency.
Merkel, Sarkozy Shun Euro Bonds in Call for More Integration (1)
German Chancellor Angela Merkel and French President Nicolas Sarkozy rejected an expansion of the 440 billion-euro ($633 billion) rescue fund and rebuffed calls for joint euro borrowing to end the debt crisis, saying greater economic integration was needed first.
No Double-Dip Yet With U.S. Economy Punching Up Growth Figures
Some of the gloom that settled over the U.S. economic outlook as stocks and sentiment plunged in recent weeks may soon dissipate as households keep spending and factories keep producing.
BOE Unanimously Held Key Rate as Weale, Dale Switched Votes (2)
Bank of England policy makers Spencer Dale and Martin Weale ended their push for an interest- rate increase this month as the euro-area crisis and signs of a global economic cooling threatened to hurt growth in Britain.
OTHER MARKETS:
European Stocks Fall on Growth Concern as Franc, Oil Advance
European stocks fell for a second day as German and French leaders failed to convince investors they will revive growth. The Swiss franc strengthened, the dollar weakened and commodities rose.
U.S. Stock-Index Futures Gain; Staples Gains, Dell Declines
U.S. stock-index futures gained, indicating the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index will climb for the fourth time in five days.
Oil Climbs From Two-Day Low as U.S. Gasoline Inventories Decline
Oil advanced from a two-day low in New York as investors bet that shrinking fuel stockpiles in the U.S. indicate demand will increase in the world’s biggest crude- consuming nation.
SPORTS:
Arsenal’s Wenger May Face Further Sanctions From UEFA: Roundup
The following is a roundup of soccer stories from U.K. media, with clickable links to the Web.

English League Championship Soccer Table

The English Football League Championship soccer table through Aug. 16:
No Sex Urged for All Blacks Fans in Telecom World Cup Campaign
New Zealand rugby fans are being urged to abstain from sex to help the All Blacks national team break its 24-year World Cup drought on home soil.


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Worst possible X-Factor audition yet !

Worst of X-Factor part 1

X-Factor==Evil Rachel

Angry American Idol Reject

johneslander@yahoo.com Ви изпрати видеоклип: „We Own The Night: Love My Fans!“

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Selena's fans mean the world to her so she decided to dedicate an episode of her We Own The Night series to them. Take a look at what some of her fans had to say about her and what she had to say about them.

Video by: Alfredo Flores
© 2011 YouTube, LLC
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AutoWeek.com: 2012 BMW Z4 sDrive 2.8i, an Autoweek Flash Drive Car Review

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2012 BMW Z4 sDrive 2.8i, an Autoweek Flash Drive Car Review
What is it? The body style of this generation Z4 has been around for a couple of years, so the real news here is the new N-20 twin-scroll turbocharged four-cylinder engine. While BMW has a history of producing excellent four-cylinders--the...

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Shared by Abram: GOP Foes, Team Obama Pile on New Frontrunner Perry

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GOP Foes, Team Obama Pile on New Frontrunner Perry

 

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** Petrobras profit jumps by a third **
Brazilian state-owned oil company Petrobras reports a 32% jump in its second-quarter net income thanks to investment gains.
< http://www.bbc.co.uk/go/em/fr/-/news/business-14540942 >


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** Biden in China amid debt concerns **
US Vice-President Joe Biden is visiting China, with talks likely to focus on addressing concerns over his country&#039;s budget deficit.
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Friday, August 5, 2011

PRECIOUS-Gold bounces as Asian stocks dive; premiums steady

 Bargain hunters buy on dips, gold still below record
* Premiums for gold bars steady in Hong Kong, Singapore
* Coming Up: U.S. non-farm payrolls July; 1230 GMT (Adds premiums; activity in physical market)
By Lewa Pardomuan
SINGAPORE, Aug 5 (Reuters) - Gold edged up on Friday as investors used bullion to shelter from the storm engulfing financial markets on concerns that the United States may be facing another recession and Europe's debt crisis is spreading to some of its largest economies.
Gold fell as much as $40 an ounce from a record high on Thursday because investors needed to sell the precious metal to cover losses in other asset classes, but the decline in prices as well as tumbling equities spurred bargain hunting.
Spot gold rose 0.35 percent to $1,653.59 an ounce by 0431 GMT, having hit a low of around $1,641. Bullion struck a record around $1,681 an ounce on Thursday before losing much of the gains.
"I don't hear anybody saying that the bears are coming," said Ronald Leung, director of Lee Cheong Gold Dealers in Hong Kong.
"The market has dropped down too much, so bargain hunters are buying a little bit at the lower end. There doesn't seem to be too much change in sentiment."
The Nikkei fell to its lowest since its post-quake plunge in March after U.S. stocks slipped on worries about the global economy, but the index later stabilised as foreign investors appeared to have finished lightening their portfolios.
In the physical market, premiums for gold bars were steady at 50 cents to $1 to the spot London prices in Hong Kong, while in Singapore, the value was little changed at as much as 80 cents.
"Investors are more interested in playing the spread now. I mean, they are buying gold at around $1,640s and selling it at around $1,650s. I do see physical demand from jewellers, although the amount is not big," said a dealer in Singapore.
"Premiums are still unchanged at 20 to 80 cents, depending on the brand."
Bullion prices have risen more than 15 percent this year. The need for investors to book those profits and boost liquidity may force prices lower in the next few days.
"Bullish sentiment in gold could be tempered as wary short-term investors look to take profits," said Ong Yi Ling, an investment analyst at Phillip Futures.
"Investors will be watching the all-important non-farm payrolls data that we will be getting today and whether the figures turn up worse than expected. It seems everyone is bracing for the worst."
U.S. economic data suggests growth in the world's largest economy was slowing from what was already a sluggish pace even before politicians agreed budget cuts. Investors await data later on Friday on U.S. jobs growth for July, which may show the impact of the political stand-off on debt.
Europe's debt crisis is threatening to swallow two of the continent's largest economies, Italy and Spain. European policymakers tried to turn a more powerful fire hose on the euro zone debt crisis on Thursday but financial markets were unimpressed with their response.
With few other places to go the metal still looks attractive to investors trying to maintain the value of their capital.
Citing enhanced contagion risk from the European debt crisis, Morgan Stanley lifted its 2011 gold price forecast to $1,511 an ounce from $1,401 and raised this year's silver price forecast to $36.21 an ounce from $31.39.
While spot gold rose, U.S. gold futures fell $1.5 to $1,657.5 an ounce -- nearly $30 off Thursday's record around $1,684 an ounce. They had dropped as low as $1,644.2 on Friday.
Oil markets were headed for their biggest weekly loss in three months on Friday on fears that a slower economy would mean less demand for fuel. The losses have erased oil's gains this year.
Base metals also dropped, with the most-active October copper contract on the Shanghai Futures Exchange down more than 3 percent in early trading on Friday, catching up with overnight losses in London.
Precious metals prices 0431 GMT Metal Last Change Pct chg YTD pct chg Volume Spot Gold 1653.59 5.69 +0.35 16.50 Spot Silver 38.98 0.17 +0.44 26.31 Spot Platinum 1703.00 -14.80 -0.86 -3.65 Spot Palladium 740.72 -0.46 -0.06 -7.35 TOCOM Gold 4177.00 151.00 +3.75 12.01 116493 TOCOM Platinum 4342.00 -139.00 -3.10 -7.54 24715 TOCOM Silver 98.10 0.30 +0.31 21.11 2157 TOCOM Palladium 1887.00 -183.00 -8.84 -10.01 861 COMEX GOLD DEC1 1631.20 15.00 +0.93 14.76 136930 COMEX SILVER SEP1 40.11 0.31 +0.78 29.63 44407 Euro/Dollar 1.4113 Dollar/Yen 78.47 TOCOM prices in yen per gram. Spot prices in $ per ounce. COMEX gold and silver contracts show the most active months
(Reporting by Lewa Pardomuan; Editing by Clarence Fernandez)

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GLOBAL MARKETS-World equities reel towards 8th day of losses

Japan's Nikkei down 3.6 pct after heavy US, European losses
* MSCI World stocks index down 1 pct to low for 2011
* US Treasury futures near highest since Dec 2008
* Gold remains soft as investors sell to cover losses
* Japan sells record Y4 trln in FX intervention-Nikkei (Recasts, updates prices, adds quotes)
By Kevin Plumberg
SINGAPORE, Aug 5 (Reuters) - - World stock markets fell for the eighth straight session on Friday to the lowest since late 2010, with more losses feared if policymakers do not come to the rescue soon to stabilise the euro zone's debt crisis and prevent the U.S. economy from sliding back into recession.
After panic overnight triggered the worst sell-off on Wall Street since the global financial crisis, investors in Asia slashed positions in equities and commodities and scrambled for the safety of cash and government bonds.
Some Asian stocks markets fell by more than 5 percent.
Major European stock markets were expected to open as much as 2.2 percent lower while U.S. stock futures eased 0.2 percent, with investors worldwide waiting for U.S. employment figures due later in the day that could trigger further selling if the jobs picture disappoints.
"Equity valuations are already pretty low but sentiment keeps deteriorating, so why come in and buy now?" said Shane Oliver, head of investment strategy at Sydney-based AMP Capital, which has more than $100 billion in assets under management.
Investors are looking for stronger U.S. and European policy responses, but it may be a while until they see another dose of quantitative easing from the Federal Reserve or a stop-gap measure in Europe, Oliver said, adding the firm had spent the past month neutralising its overweight positions.
Complicating matters was that Japan and Switzerland have intervened this week to knock down their currencies, which were considered the safest in the developed world. That has caused some safety-seeking investors to think twice about stashing money there when financial market volatility is spiking.
So far, retail investors were participating in the heavy selling but institutional equity investors in Asia were not completely liquidating their positions, instead continuing to cut riskier bets and protect their portfolios.
The benchmark MSCI all-country world stocks index fell 1 percent to the lowest since Dec. 1, 2010. The index has slumped nearly 11 percent since late July.
RISK REDUCTION
Japan's Nikkei share average fell 3.7 percent to the lowest since the week following the country's massive earthquake and tsunami in March.
An institutional fund manager overseeing 400 billion yen in Japanese equities, who could not be identified as he was not authorised to speak to media, said he was trying to reduce exposure to stocks which were dependent on external demand.
The asset manager was selling shares of carmakers, traders and electric machinery stocks, and buying retailers and textile manufacturers.
The benchmark MSCI index of Asia Pacific stocks outside Japan fell 4.6 percent , with investors selling across the sectors, whether they are defensive or cyclical. The index is on course for the biggest weekly drop since November 2008, when the global financial crisis was rippling through markets.
"Clearly, it's just a knee-jerk reaction to what's going on," said Michael Heffernan, senior client advisor with Austock Group in Australia. "We're going down simply on the fear that Italy can't pay its debts."
Within Asia, markets with high trade exposure to the West and reliance on commodities looked particularly vulnerable.
Taiwan, where the technology sector makes up about half of the equity market capitalisation and depends heavily on exports to developed countries, is a weak point in Asia.
The benchmark stock index in Taiwan led Asia, falling 5.1 percent .
EUROPE, LIQUIDITY AND WIDENING SPREADS
Europe, where overloaded national balance sheets have bedeviled politicians struggling to grasp the implications, is currently in the eye of the storm.
Italian and Spanish bond yields have kept rising and German bond yields are falling, widening spreads the most since the euro was born and causing deep-seated fears that realistic options for policymakers to keep the euro zone together are few.
The European Central Bank on Thursday resumed buying government bonds after a four-month break and announced new longer-term funding for liquidity-starved banks, but investors kept selling peripheral European bonds.
Traders who had went warily back to the yen and Swiss franc were tested.
The dollar whipsawed in Asian trading against the yen on talk of additional Japanese intervention, trading slightly lower on the day at 78.59 yen , a day after Japan reportedly spent a record 4 trillion yen ($50.6 billion) to weaken its currency and bolster its export competitiveness.
U.S. 10-year Treasury futures ticked up 9.5/32 to 128-9.5/32 , just below the Thursday high of 128-12/32, which was the highest since December 2008. The cash yield was at 2.39 percent , matching the lowest since October 2010.
The yield has sank nearly 40 basis points so far in August, as a wall of worry sends investors to the most liquid bond market in the world despite worries about Washington's ability to cut spending and rein in longer-term debt.
Commodity markets extended heavy overnight losses on fears of slowing demand.
U.S. crude for September delivery fell 1.1 percent to $85.54 a barrel, the lowest since February 2011.
Spot gold prices edged up $6.74 an ounce to $1,654.84 after hitting a record around $1,681 an ounce on Thursday before losing some of the gains.
In an ominous sign, gold prices in the past 24 hours were soft despite the spiralling fears hurting risky markets. Investors were having to sell gold positions to cover losses elsewhere in their portfolios.
"This will not be a quiet day. Liquidity will be at a premium," a sales trader with a European bank said. (Additional reporting by Vikram Subhedar in Hong Kong and Antoni Slodkowski in Tokyo; Editing by Kim Coghill)

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